Question Details

Let a die rolled till 2 is obtained. The probability that 2 obtained on even numbered toss is equal to

Options

A

5/11

B

5/6

C

1/11

D

6/11

Correct Answer :

5/11

Solution :

To find the probability that a 2 is obtained on an even-numbered toss of a die, we can break down the problem step-by-step.

First, let us find the probability of success (getting a 2) and failure (getting any other number than 2) on a single roll of a fair six-sided die:
The probability of getting a 2 is:
p = 1 6
The probability of not getting a 2 is:
q = 1 - p = 5 6

The die is rolled until a 2 is obtained. We want the probability that the 2 is obtained on an even-numbered toss (i.e., on the 2nd, 4th, 6th, 8th, ... toss).
Let us write down the probability for each of these cases:
- The 2 is obtained on the 2nd toss (1st toss is a failure, 2nd is a success):
P 2 = q p
- The 2 is obtained on the 4th toss (first 3 tosses are failures, 4th is a success):
P 4 = q 3 p
- The 2 is obtained on the 6th toss (first 5 tosses are failures, 6th is a success):
P 6 = q 5 p
and so on.

The total probability P of obtaining 2 on an even-numbered toss is the sum of these probabilities:
P = q p + q 3 p + q 5 p + ...

This is an infinite geometric progression (GP) where:
- The first term is a=qp
- The common ratio is r=q2

The sum of an infinite geometric progression is given by the formula:
S = a 1 - r

Substituting the values of a and r into the formula:
P = q p 1 - q 2

Now, substitute the values of p=16 and q=56:
P = 5 6 × 1 6 1 - 5 6 2

Simplify the expression:
P = 5 36 1 - 25 36
P = 5 36 11 36
P = 5 11

Therefore, the probability that 2 is obtained on an even-numbered toss is 5/11.

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